Er aktiekorrektionen retfærdiggjort? Hysteri eller Hysteresis?

Hysteri eller Hysteresis?

tpcAktiemarkederne fortsætter den brutale nedtur i eftersommeren. Siden midten af juli er danske OMXC20Cap således nede med hele 12%. Er det en overreaktion? - er investorerne hysteriske?

Analysen her viser, at reaktionen er retfærdiggjort og at bunden ikke er nået endnu. Dels fordi EU’s "Austerity" vækstmodel betvivles, dels fordi udsigterne til langvarig lavkonjunktur påvirker, ikke bare det strukturelle BNP niveau, men også den strukturelle vækstrate og dermed virksomhedernes indtjeningsevne. ”Hysteresis” kaldes fænomenet, hvor lavkonjunkturen i sig selv øger chancen for fremtidige lavkonjunkturer. Ifølge Professor Larry Ball fra Johns Hopkins University, i artiklen "Long-Term Damage from the Great Recession in the OECD Countries", er Danmarks potentielle årlige vækstrate faldet med 1%-point (halveret!), som følge af Finanskrisen!

Læs mere...Hysteresis_Aktiemarked



3.667 tanker om “Er aktiekorrektionen retfærdiggjort? Hysteri eller Hysteresis?

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